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A group of legislators wanted to look at factors that affect the number of traff

ID: 3432515 • Letter: A

Question

A group of legislators wanted to look at factors that affect the number of traffic fatalities. They collected some data for 1992 from the National Transportation Safety Board on the number of fatalities for 50 states and the District of Columbia (DC), the number of licensed drivers, the number of registered vehicles, and the number of vehicle miles traveled. Select the Number of Traffic Fatalities as the dependent variable and the Number of licensed drivers (in thousands), the Number of Registered Vehicles (in thousands) and the Number of Vehicle Miles Traveled (in millions) as independent variables.

What is the value of R2 for this model? Do you think that the model does a good job of explaining the variation in the number of traffic fatalities? Why or why not?

State

Traffic Fatalities

Vehicle Miles Traveled (millions)

Licensed Drivers (thousands)

Registered Vehicles (thousands)

AL

1083

48956

3102

3422

AK

85

4150

443

508

AZ

903

38774

2879

3920

AR

610

24948

1770

1560

CA

4226

271943

20201

21980

CO

585

33705

2620

3144

CT

310

27138

2012

2638

DE

112

7025

512

672

DC

100

3448

366

189

FL

2860

121989

10691

10132

GA

1426

82822

4666

4725

HI

122

7935

791

781

ID

361

11652

779

1173

IL

1554

92316

7029

7692

IN

974

62108

3834

4850

IA

478

25737

1921

3920

KS

442

24678

1794

1965

KY

409

39822

2109

2615

LA

838

37430

2606

7261

ME

201

12469

916

1071

MD

651

44165

3311

2930

MA

440

46990

4209

3956

MI

1419

85183

6819

7599

MN

644

43317

2668

3869

MS

791

28548

1659

2056

MO

1089

57288

3512

4179

MT

202

9116

536

967

NE

271

15466

1102

1490

NV

294

13019

987

983

NH

119

10501

878

1013

NJ

890

60466

5521

5752

NM

447

20480

1162

1472

NY

1782

112970

10444

10428

NC

1431

71928

4779

5462

ND

88

6338

443

687

OH

1371

98200

7722

9647

OK

687

36980

2363

2863

OR

490

29453

2401

2748

PA

1190

92347

8146

8557

RI

63

7095

682

728

SC

847

37245

2458

2764

SD

154

7631

512

845

TN

1214

54524

3583

5150

TX

3186

178348

12012

13287

UT

342

18078

1203

1381

VT

77

6152

435

502

VA

930

67609

4631

5593

WA

638

47428

3741

4654

WV

356

17112

1317

1375

WI

712

50273

3542

4044

WY

144

6689

354

583

Traffic Fatalities

Vehicle Miles Traveled (millions)

Licensed Drivers (thousands)

Registered Vehicles (thousands)

AL

1083

48956

3102

3422

AK

85

4150

443

508

AZ

903

38774

2879

3920

AR

610

24948

1770

1560

CA

4226

271943

20201

21980

CO

585

33705

2620

3144

CT

310

27138

2012

2638

DE

112

7025

512

672

DC

100

3448

366

189

FL

2860

121989

10691

10132

GA

1426

82822

4666

4725

HI

122

7935

791

781

ID

361

11652

779

1173

IL

1554

92316

7029

7692

IN

974

62108

3834

4850

IA

478

25737

1921

3920

KS

442

24678

1794

1965

KY

409

39822

2109

2615

LA

838

37430

2606

7261

ME

201

12469

916

1071

MD

651

44165

3311

2930

MA

440

46990

4209

3956

MI

1419

85183

6819

7599

MN

644

43317

2668

3869

MS

791

28548

1659

2056

MO

1089

57288

3512

4179

MT

202

9116

536

967

NE

271

15466

1102

1490

NV

294

13019

987

983

NH

119

10501

878

1013

NJ

890

60466

5521

5752

NM

447

20480

1162

1472

NY

1782

112970

10444

10428

NC

1431

71928

4779

5462

ND

88

6338

443

687

OH

1371

98200

7722

9647

OK

687

36980

2363

2863

OR

490

29453

2401

2748

PA

1190

92347

8146

8557

RI

63

7095

682

728

SC

847

37245

2458

2764

SD

154

7631

512

845

TN

1214

54524

3583

5150

TX

3186

178348

12012

13287

UT

342

18078

1203

1381

VT

77

6152

435

502

VA

930

67609

4631

5593

WA

638

47428

3741

4654

WV

356

17112

1317

1375

WI

712

50273

3542

4044

WY

144

6689

354

583

Explanation / Answer

Coefficient of determination = ratio of y-y bar/actual y-ybar square

Y x1 x2 x3 AK 85 4150 443 508 AZ 903 38774 2879 3920 AR 610 24948 1770 1560 CA 4226 271943 20201 21980 CO 585 33705 2620 3144 CT 310 27138 2012 2638 DE 112 7025 512 672 DC 100 3448 366 189 FL 2860 121989 10691 10132 GA 1426 82822 4666 4725 HI 122 7935 791 781 ID 361 11652 779 1173 IL 1554 92316 7029 7692 IN 974 62108 3834 4850 IA 478 25737 1921 3920 KS 442 24678 1794 1965 KY 409 39822 2109 2615 LA 838 37430 2606 7261 ME 201 12469 916 1071 MD 651 44165 3311 2930 MA 440 46990 4209 3956 MI 1419 85183 6819 7599 MN 644 43317 2668 3869 MS 791 28548 1659 2056 MO 1089 57288 3512 4179 MT 202 9116 536 967 NE 271 15466 1102 1490 NV 294 13019 987 983 NH 119 10501 878 1013 NJ 890 60466 5521 5752 NM 447 20480 1162 1472 NY 1782 112970 10444 10428 NC 1431 71928 4779 5462 ND 88 6338 443 687 OH 1371 98200 7722 9647 OK 687 36980 2363 2863 OR 490 29453 2401 2748 PA 1190 92347 8146 8557 RI 63 7095 682 728 SC 847 37245 2458 2764 SD 154 7631 512 845 TN 1214 54524 3583 5150 TX 3186 178348 12012 13287 UT 342 18078 1203 1381 VT 77 6152 435 502 VA 930 67609 4631 5593 WA 638 47428 3741 4654 WV 356 17112 1317 1375 WI 712 50273 3542 4044 WY 144 6689 354 583 Mean 555.608 32910.48 2539.858 2783.296 Slope 0.016 0.013 0.012 526.5676 33.01815 33.39955
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