You are thinking about the things that can go wrong on your trip home over the T

Question

You are thinking about the things that can go wrong on your trip home over the Thanksgiving break. You have booked a flight with US-Scareways. You know that in 27% of the cases, the company cancels the flight you are on and in that case, there would be no other air travel option home. As a back-up, your friend Walter has offered you a ride back. However, you know that Walter only has a seat in his car for you with 79% probability. (Round your answer to 4 decimal places.) What is your probability of making it home for the holidays? You are thinking about the things that can go wrong on your trip home over the Thanksgiving break. You have booked a flight with US-Scareways. You know that in 27% of the cases, the company cancels the flight you are on and in that case, there would be no other air travel option home. As a back-up, your friend Walter has offered you a ride back. However, you know that Walter only has a seat in his car for you with 79% probability. (Round your answer to 4 decimal places.) What is your probability of making it home for the holidays?

Explanation / Answer

Solution:

Company cancels the flight =0.27

Chance that you will not get a seat in Walter is

0.21

Probability that you will not make it home for the holidays = 0.21*0.27 = 0.0567

So probability that you will make it home for the holidays =

1-0.0567 = 0.9433

So there is 94.33% chance that you will make it home for the holidays.

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