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A project being analyzed by PERT has 55 activities, 8 of which are on the critic

ID: 380487 • Letter: A

Question

A project being analyzed by PERT has 55 activities, 8 of which are on the critical path. If the estimated time along the critical path is 125 days with a project standard deviation of 15 days, find the project deadline that gives this project a 33% chance of on-time completion. (Use NORMAL CURVE AREAS table in APPENDIX I of the textbook.)

Select one:

a. from 118.46 to 118.58 days

b. from 118.34 to 118.46 days

c. from 118.58 to 118.7 days

d. from 118.22 to 118.34 days

e. from 118.1 to 118.22 days

Explanation / Answer

a. from 118.46 to 118.58 days

For 33% chance of on-time completion, F(z) = 0.33

z = NORMSINV(0.33) = -0.4307

Project deadline (t) = + z = 125 + -0.4307*15 = 118.54  days

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