Read the case study : The Prime Minister of India N. Modi and answer the questio

Question

Read the case study : The Prime Minister of India N. Modi and answer the questions at the end of the case study.

The paper should be 2-3 pages long.

Realist Theories 61 Policy Perspectives Prime Minister of India, Narendra Modi PROBLEM How do you confront a fluid security env- ronment by managing current and formal rivals? strong leadership in your region. In the past five years, however, your country has increased ties with China. You visited China in 2015, after China's leader visited India to sign trade and invest ment agreements. Your armies (the two largest in the world) have held joint training exercises yet also accuse one another of border violations. DOMESTIC CONSIDERATIONS Within your country, nei- ther Pakistan nor China is a popular choice for allies. Your population is still angered by the Chinese victory in the 1962 Sino-Indian war and the disputed border territory that gave rise to the conflict. Yet your largely Hindu population is also angry at repeated attempts by Muslim Pakistan to gain control of Kashmir. Your advisers also remind you that China still has a healthy relationship with Pakistan, selling large numbers of weapons and giving military assistance to that country. Indeed the main political opposition parties argue that you have been too "soft" on both Pakistan and China. Any public backlash BACKGROUND As the world's largest democracy, your against your foreign policy on these issues could be wide- country faces many challenges both at home and abroad. In pread and bring calls for new olections that could unseat particular, in the past 50 years, you have fought wars against your two largest neighbors, China and Pakistan. Both states possess nuclear weapons, as do cooperated with each other in the past, including on sales of high technology military goods such as missiles. your government. SCENARIO Imagine the government of Pakistan begins to suffer from large-scale instability, Islamist militants are close to overthrowing the government there, giving them control of Paki- stan's nuclear weapons. They are also calling for Muslims in Kashmir to rise up against Indian control, promising openly to you. China and Pakistan have Your generally hostile relationship with Pakistan grows from e over half of the region of Kashmir, which bothassist a rebellion in that province by providing weapons an of you claim but India maintains control over. The territory is cov- eted not only by your respective governments but by the publics in each country as well. While there has been some cooperation between each country, tensions still run high over Kashmir. In the aftermath of the November 2008 terrorist attacks in Mum- bai, many in your country blamed Pakistan because it is hormo to Islamic militant groups. intelligence. Your own intolligence service considers the collapse of the current Pakistani govenment "ikely CHOOSE YOUR POLICY Do you push for closer relations stability in Pakistan? Can you trust a to support you in a dispute with Pakistan, given those countries' close relationship? Do you ask China to heip mediate between your government and Pakistan in the event your course as indeen- with China as a result of in Chin Your hostlfities with China have cooled over the years, but China remains a major rival in the region and you stll maintain competing claims over territory. Like your own country, China is large economically as well as militarily, and it attempts to exertyour country? of hostities? Or do you continue dently as possible, not trusting Chineso intentions toward Statecraft Classical realists emphasize statecraft-the art of managing state affairs and effectively maneuvering in a world of power politics among sovereign states. Power strategies are plans actors use to develop and deploy power capabilities to achieve their goals. A key aspect of strategy is choosing the kinds of capabilities to develop, givern limited resources, in order to maximize international influence. This requires foresight because the capabilities required to manage a situation may need to be developed years before that situation presents itself. Yet the capabilities chosen often will not be fungible in the short term. Central to this dilemma is deciding what kind of standing military forces to maintain in peacetime-enough to prevent a quick defeat if war breaks out, but not so much as to overburden one's economy (see pp. 189-190).

Explanation / Answer

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I chose do you continue to your course as independently as possible and not trusting Chinese in tension towards your country...

Pakistan is already providing the ISI and military, finance, training, equipment and logistic support, to various terror groups located in Pakistan and this is known to China and also after the Uri attack, when countries like United States, EU, Japan, Australia, most Arab states were in support of India’s position, China still continued to support of Pakistan.China, which is an authoritarian state, looks far ahead whereas India which is a democratic country, the vision of people and controlling party change after five years when elections occurs. China has already set its long term goal to emerge as the dominant global power for which China needs Pakistan as well as India. To achieve this it is investing in connecting China, through rail and road, with Europe and Central Asia and also to Middle East and South Asia via the proposed Gwadar port in Balochistan province of Pakistan, for which support of Pakistan is very much needed, also Pakistan is China's most reliable friend as they gave up the Shagsgam valley to China in the disputed regions in J&K in 1963 but China probably wouldn't provide any military as It certainly wouldn’t attack India as Indian High Command has been prepared for this eventuality since 1962. Any shipment Beijing sends would have to go through a land route since India is monitoring the Arabian Sea. So if war breaks out between India and Pakistan, China will definitely support Pakistan as it has done it since the last 4 indo-pak wars but China won't directly engage in battle with India as it has geographic advantage, indian defences have improved since the last attack and as America will support Indiaand if India and China go to war it would result in a loss of money time and resources both for India and China so therefore India would continue its course independently as possible without trusting Chinese intentions with our country.

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