Given the following payoff table and probabilities for states of nature, determi
ID: 425351 • Letter: G
Question
Given the following payoff table and probabilities for states of nature, determine the optimum policy for the decision maker in this newsvendor problem. Actual Demands 40 0.4 400 Order Quantity20 60 0.2 Probabilities 4 400 Decision 1 Decision 2 Decision 20 40 60 Order Actual Demand: Quantity 20 40 60 20.40.40 Probabilities979 Decision 1: 20 200 150 400 Decision 2: 40 200 400 150 Decision 3: 60 100 300 300 1) decision one 2) decision two 3) decision three 4) all decisions are equally profitable 5) none of the aboveExplanation / Answer
Expected Value of Decision 1 = 0.2*200 + 0.4*150+0.4*400 = 260
Expected Value of Decision 2 = 0.2*200 + 0.4*400+0.4*150 = 260
Expected Value of Decision 1 = 0.2*100 + 0.4*300 +0.4*300 = 260
Therefore we can say 4) All decisions are equally profitable.
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