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During the early morning hours, customers arrive at a branch post office at an a

ID: 445805 • Letter: D

Question

During the early morning hours, customers arrive at a branch post office at an average rate of 45 per hour (Poisson), while clerks can handle transactions in an average time (exponential) of 4 minutes each.

For 5 clerks, what is the service rate (mu)?

For this network, what is the critical path?

Activity

Optimistic

Realistic

Pessimistic

1-2

2

3

5

1-3

7

8

9

2-4

2

2

2

2-5

3

6

8

1-4

3

4

4

3-4

2

2

4

3-6

4

5

6

6-7

3

7

12

4-7

7

9

14

5-7

5

6

8

Using probabilistic time estimates, how long will the project take? Do not round

Activity

Optimistic

Realistic

Pessimistic

1-2

2

3

5

1-3

7

8

9

2-4

2

2

2

2-5

3

6

8

1-4

3

4

4

3-4

2

2

4

3-6

4

5

6

6-7

3

7

12

4-7

7

9

14

5-7

5

6

8

Using Crystal Ball, what is the probability the project will be completed in 20 days or less? (express in %)

Activity

Optimistic

Realistic

Pessimistic

1-2

2

3

5

1-3

7

8

9

2-4

2

2

2

2-5

3

6

8

1-4

3

4

4

3-4

2

2

4

3-6

4

5

6

6-7

3

7

12

4-7

7

9

14

5-7

5

6

8

Explanation / Answer

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