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10. The Fisher effect and the cost of unexpected inflation Suppose the nominal i

ID: 1111328 • Letter: 1

Question

10. The Fisher effect and the cost of unexpected inflation Suppose the nominal interest rate on car loans is 11% per year, and both actual and expected inflation are equal to 4% Complete the first row of the table by filling in the expected real interest rate and the actual real interest rate before any change in the money supply Nominal Interest Rate Percent) Expected Inflation (Percent) 4 4 Actual Inflation (Percent) 4 6 Expected Real InterestActual Real Interest Rate Rate (Percent) Time Period Before increase in MS Immediately after increase in MS (Percent) Now suppose the Fed unexpectedly increases the growth rate of the money supply, causing the inflation rate to rise unexpectedly from 4% to 6% per year. Complete the second row of the table by filling in the expected and actual real interest rates on car loans immediately after the increase in the money supply (MS) The unanticipated change in inflation arbitrarily benefits Now consider the long-run impact of the change in money growth and inflation. According to the Fisher effect, as expectations adjust to the new, higher inflation rate, the nominal interest rate will to 90 per year

Explanation / Answer

Ans:

Expected real interest rate = Nominal interest rate - Expected inflation

Actual real interest rate = Nominal interest rate - Actual inflation

Table showing expected real interest rate and actual real interest rate

The unanticipated change in inflation arbitrarily benefits Lenders

3) Rise to 13%

As per Fisher effect in the long run the higher inflation rate will rise the nominal interest rate to 13%

Time period Nominal interest rate Expected inflation Actual inflation Expected Real Interest rate Actual Real interest Rate Before increase in MS 11 4 4 (11 - 4) = 7 (11 - 4) = 7 After increase in MS 11 4 6 (11 - 4) = 7 (11-6) = 5
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