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the population at one age group making it into the next age group. The 4h column

ID: 1712052 • Letter: T

Question

the population at one age group making it into the next age group. The 4h column gives the birth rate per female in the given age group. The next column gives the total 2010 US population (men and women) in thousands in each age group. The 6h column gives the fraction 2. The U.S. population by age is given in the table below. The third column gives the probability of the total population that are female. Project the U.S. population to 2020 (fill in the last column in the table). Sh P 20X Age low Age High| Pies/pi bi P P 2010Fraction Female 21,110 19,416 21,605 19 0.997539 0.026520,239 24 0.995683 0.1055 21,878 29 0.995207 0.09820,893 0.5105 0.4892 0.4893 0. 4 0.99281 0.999517 14 0.999204 10 15 25 301 35 0.4978 0.5008 34 ·99450100493| 20,326 | 39 0.993085 0.010419,140 44 0.990031 0.000820,787 01 21,583 o 22,372 01 20,470 17,501 0.5078 49 0.983951 54 0.975661 59 0.964891 6064 0.950152 0.5097 0.5125 0.5174 0.5270 6569 0.9255910 13,599 | 74 0.887689 79 0.825212 84 0.725624 9,784 7,331 75 0.5381 801 1 ol 5,786 1 0.5741 85 89 0.569174 3,000 0.5816 94 0.384733 99 0.216573 | 01 2,000 6 %) 0.6384 0.8912 0.9999 100 1040 1

Explanation / Answer

Answer:-

we have to forcast the population after 10 years.

P2020 = P2010 ( 1+( pi +1/pi ))^n

we will calculate only for age 0-4 group . another calcualtion will be in excel sheet and sumarised in the tables as below,

P =21110 ( 1+ 0.99281)^10  

P2020 = 20851974.

pls refer table for result.