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Below are Income and cash flow statements for a new product model. Management ha

ID: 2645683 • Letter: B

Question

Below are Income and cash flow statements for a new product model. Management has approved these statements but wants to look at some alternatives.   The cells with a shaded background in column D contain the original values and are shown only to assist you in reverting back to the original values if needed. All question parts should start from the original data.   a Determine the unit price to attain a PW = $250,000. Describe how you determined this. b Starting with the original values, determine the COGS each for which the present worth is zero. Describe how you determined this. c Two estimates are shown below of the Sales Quantity in year 1, and the Sales Quantity Annual Increase. The two estimates are equally probable. Using these two estimates, determine the expected present worth. Start with the original values. Estimates 1 2 Sales quantity in Year 1 35000 45000 Sales Quantity Annual Increase 20% 25% Model Copy of Original Values Sales quantity in Year 1 35,000 35,000 Sales Quantity Annual Increase 20% 20% Unit Price (all years) $40.00 $40.00 COGS each $12.00 $12.00 S.G.& A. $750,000 $750,000 Income tax rate 20% 20% MARR 15% 15% 0 Investment $2,000,000 $2,000,000 Years 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Sales Quantity Forecast 35,000 42,000 50,400 60,480 72,576 87,091 Depreciation 5-year MACRS 20.00% 32.00% 19.20% 11.52% 11.52% 5.76% Book Value $1,600,000 $960,000 $576,000 $345,600 $115,200 $0 Income Statement 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Sales revenue $1,400,000 $1,680,000 $2,016,000 $2,419,200 $2,903,040 $3,483,648 Cost of goods sold ($420,000) ($504,000) ($604,800) ($725,760) ($870,912) ($1,045,094) Gross Margin $980,000 $1,176,000 $1,411,200 $1,693,440 $2,032,128 $2,438,554 General, Sales and Admin. ($750,000) ($750,000) ($750,000) ($750,000) ($750,000) ($750,000) Depreciation ($400,000) ($640,000) ($384,000) ($230,400) ($230,400) ($115,200) EBIT ($170,000) ($214,000) $277,200 $713,040 $1,051,728 $1,573,354 Income tax $34,000 $42,800 ($55,440) ($142,608) ($210,346) ($314,671) Net income ($136,000) ($171,200) $221,760 $570,432 $841,382 $1,258,683 Cash Flow Statement Net Income ($136,000) ($171,200) $221,760 $570,432 $841,382 $1,258,683 Add depreciation $400,000 $640,000 $384,000 $230,400 $230,400 $115,200 Investment (2,000,000)                Change in Working Capital ($140,000) ($28,000) ($33,600) ($40,320) ($48,384) ($58,061) Cash flow ($2,000,000) $124,000 $440,800 $572,160 $760,512 $1,023,398 $1,315,822 Present Worth = IRR $329,840 19.4% Below are Income and cash flow statements for a new product model. Management has approved these statements but wants to look at some alternatives.   The cells with a shaded background in column D contain the original values and are shown only to assist you in reverting back to the original values if needed. All question parts should start from the original data.   a Determine the unit price to attain a PW = $250,000. Describe how you determined this. b Starting with the original values, determine the COGS each for which the present worth is zero. Describe how you determined this. c Two estimates are shown below of the Sales Quantity in year 1, and the Sales Quantity Annual Increase. The two estimates are equally probable. Using these two estimates, determine the expected present worth. Start with the original values. Estimates 1 2 Sales quantity in Year 1 35000 45000 Sales Quantity Annual Increase 20% 25% Model Copy of Original Values Sales quantity in Year 1 35,000 35,000 Sales Quantity Annual Increase 20% 20% Unit Price (all years) $40.00 $40.00 COGS each $12.00 $12.00 S.G.& A. $750,000 $750,000 Income tax rate 20% 20% MARR 15% 15% 0 Investment $2,000,000 $2,000,000 Years 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Sales Quantity Forecast 35,000 42,000 50,400 60,480 72,576 87,091 Depreciation 5-year MACRS 20.00% 32.00% 19.20% 11.52% 11.52% 5.76% Book Value $1,600,000 $960,000 $576,000 $345,600 $115,200 $0 Income Statement 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Sales revenue $1,400,000 $1,680,000 $2,016,000 $2,419,200 $2,903,040 $3,483,648 Cost of goods sold ($420,000) ($504,000) ($604,800) ($725,760) ($870,912) ($1,045,094) Gross Margin $980,000 $1,176,000 $1,411,200 $1,693,440 $2,032,128 $2,438,554 General, Sales and Admin. ($750,000) ($750,000) ($750,000) ($750,000) ($750,000) ($750,000) Depreciation ($400,000) ($640,000) ($384,000) ($230,400) ($230,400) ($115,200) EBIT ($170,000) ($214,000) $277,200 $713,040 $1,051,728 $1,573,354 Income tax $34,000 $42,800 ($55,440) ($142,608) ($210,346) ($314,671) Net income ($136,000) ($171,200) $221,760 $570,432 $841,382 $1,258,683 Cash Flow Statement Net Income ($136,000) ($171,200) $221,760 $570,432 $841,382 $1,258,683 Add depreciation $400,000 $640,000 $384,000 $230,400 $230,400 $115,200 Investment (2,000,000)                Change in Working Capital ($140,000) ($28,000) ($33,600) ($40,320) ($48,384) ($58,061) Cash flow ($2,000,000) $124,000 $440,800 $572,160 $760,512 $1,023,398 $1,315,822 Present Worth = IRR $329,840 19.4%

Explanation / Answer

Let x be the price per unit to attain a PW of $250,000. Assuming all other things remain the same the present worth calculations are as follows:

Present Value of Inflow - Present Value of Outflow = 250,000
137071.83x-3483672.36 - 2000000 = 250000
137071.83x - 5483672.36 = 250000
137071.83x = 5733672.36
x = 41.829
Selling Price per unit to maintain a PW of 250000 at 19.4% is $41.829

Income Statement 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Sales revenue 35000x 42000x 50400x 60480x 72576x 87091x Cost of goods sold ($420,000) ($504,000) ($604,800) ($725,760) ($870,912) ($1,045,094) General, Sales and Admin. ($750,000) ($750,000) ($750,000) ($750,000) ($750,000) ($750,000) Depreciation ($400,000) ($640,000) ($384,000) ($230,400) ($230,400) ($115,200) ($1,570,000) ($1,894,000) ($1,738,800) ($1,706,160) ($1,851,312) ($1,910,294) EBIT 35000x-1570000 42000x-1894000 50400x-1738800 60480x-1706160 72576x-1851312 87091x-1910294 Income tax 7000x-314000 8400x-378800 10080x-347760 12096x-341232 14515.2x-370262.4 17418.2x-382058.8 Net income 28000x-1256000 33600x-1515200 40320x-1391040 48384x-1364928 58060.8x-1481049.6 69672.8x-1528235.2 Cash Flow Statement Net Income 28000x-1256000 33600x-1515200 40320x-1391040 48384x-1364928 58060.8x-1481049.6 69672.8x-1528235.2 Add depreciation $400,000 $640,000 $384,000 $230,400 $230,400 $115,200 Investment -2,000,000                Change in Working Capital (3500x) (700x) (840x) (1008x) (1209.6x) (1451.5x) Cash flow ($2,000,000) 24500x-856000 32900x-875200 39480x-1007040 47376x-1134528 56851.2x-1250649.6 68221.3x-1413035.2 PV Factor @ 19.4%     1.000000                   0.837521                  0.701441                  0.587472                  0.492020                  0.412077                  0.345123 Present Value ($2,000,000) 20519.26x-716917.92 23077.42x-613901.44 23193.39x-591607.6 23309.94x-558210.38 23427.07x-515363.92 23544.75x-487671.1
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