It is known that 5% of the population has disease A, which can bediscovered by m
ID: 2914105 • Letter: I
Question
It is known that 5% of the population has disease A, which can bediscovered by means of a blood test. Suppose that N (a largenumber) people are tested. The blood sample of k people arepooled together and analyzed. (Assume that N=nk, with n aninteger.) If the test is negative, all of the persons in thepool are healthy and only one test is needed. If the test ispositive, each of the k persons must be tested separately and atotal of k+1 tests are needed.For a fixed k, what is the expected number of tests needed?
Explanation / Answer
[(0.95)k][1] +[1-(0.95)k][k+1] = (0.95)k + k + 1 -k(0.95)k - (0.95)k =[1-(0.95)k][k]+1n{[1-(0.95)k][k]+1}
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