A) A retail grocery merchant figures that her daily gain X from sales is a norma
ID: 3064728 • Letter: A
Question
A) A retail grocery merchant figures that her daily gain X from sales is a normally distributed random variable with = 70 and = 4 (measurements in dollars). X can be negative if she is forced to dispose of enough perishable goods. Also, she figures daily overhead costs Y to have a gamma distribution with = 5 and = 2. If X and Yare independent, find the expected value and variance of her net daily gain.
expected value $ -
variance -
B) Would you expect her net gain for tomorrow to rise above $100?
-No, because $100 is more than 3 standard deviations above the expected value, which makes it unlikely.
-Yes, because $100 is more than 3 standard deviations above the expected value, which makes it likely.
-No, because $100 is less than 3 standard deviations above the expected value, which makes it unlikely
-Yes, because $100 is less than 3 standard deviations above the expected value, which makes it likely.
Explanation / Answer
A) here expected value of net gain =E(X)-E(Y) =70- =70-5*2 =60
an variance =Var(X)+Var(Y) =42+2 =16+5*22 =36
B) std deviation =(36)1/2 =6
therefore 100 is more than 3 std deviaiton above expected value. hence correct option is :
-No, because $100 is more than 3 standard deviations above the expected value, which makes it unlikely.
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