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The Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms (BATF) has been concerned about lea

ID: 3151925 • Letter: T

Question

The Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms (BATF) has been concerned about lead levels in California wines. Table 1 reports the results from a pilot test that measured lead levels in a random sampling of wines.

The BATF wishes to estimate the true average lead level for California wines to within 18 parts per billion at a 98% level of confidence? Based on the BATF's criteria, the number of wine specimens that should be tested is:

Table 1: Descriptive statistics for the lead in wine study Variable n mean Std.Dev SEmean lead 15 230 120 30.98

Explanation / Answer

Here sample size is small so we use the formula as,

n = [ (Zc * sigma) / E ]2

where Zc is the z-critical value.

sigma is the standard deviation = 120

E is margin of error = 18

c = confidence level = 98% = 0.98

We can find Zc by using EXCEL.

syntax is,

=NORMSINV(probability)

where probability = 1 - a/2

a = 1 - c

Zc = 2.33

n = [(2.33*120) / 18 ]2 = 15.532 = 241.2844 = 241

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