As we reported all the beginning of this chapter. on June 16.1989. during (he se
ID: 3155789 • Letter: A
Question
As we reported all the beginning of this chapter. on June 16.1989. during (he second round of the 1989 US. Open, four golfers- Doug Weaver. Mark Wiebe. Jerry Pate, and Nick Price nude hole' in one on the sixth hole at Oak Hill in Pitlsford. New York. Now- that you have studied the material in this chapter, you can determine for yourself the likelihood of such an event. According to the experts, the odds against a professional golfer making a hole in are 3708 to I. in other words, the probability is 1/3709 that a professional golfer will make a hole in one. One hundred fifty - five golfers participated in the second round. Determine the probability that at least 4 of the 155 golfers would get a hole in one on the sixth hole. Discuss your result. What assumptions did you make in solving pail (a)? Do those assumptions seem reasonable to you? Explain your answer.Explanation / Answer
a) p is very low, and n is high, do normal approximation to binomial.
E(X)=mu=np=155*1/3709=0.0418
SD=sqrt npq=0.2044
P(X>=4)=P[Z>(4-0.0418)/0.2044]=P(Z>=19.36)=0.00001
Assumptions:10% condition: 155 is less than 10% golfers who would get a hole in one on the sixth hole.
Success/failure condition:np and nq are not at least 10, therefore, assumptions do not seem reasonable.
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