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Five treatments used during the manufacture of cell phones are being evaluated b

ID: 3178154 • Letter: F

Question

Five treatments used during the manufacture of cell phones are being evaluated by a researcher employed by a manufacturer of phones. Twenty-five batteries from each treatment are tested and the number of days they last beyond 700 days is recorded. Any battery that lasts 60 days beyond 700 is considered a success. The data and some analyses from JMP are provided. Use this information to answer the following questions.

Part A. Suppose the researcher goes to a supplier and randomly chooses one battery from Treatment 1, one from Treatment 2, and one battery from Treatment 3; and then plans to test the three batteries. Use the provided data to estimate the probability that at least 2 of the batteries are considered a success (last beyond 760 days) in this planned test.

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PROVIDED DATA:

Treatment 1:   68% successful, 32% unsuccessful

Treatment 2:   56% successful, 44% unsuccessful

Treatment 3: 60% successful, 40% unsuccessful

Treatment 4:   48% successful, 52% unsuccessful

Treatment 5:   4% successful, 96% unsuccessful

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Treatment 1

Mean: 63.36

Standard Deviation: 14.53983

Standard Error Mean: 2.9079661

Upper 95% Mean: 69.361747

Lower 95% Mean: 57.358253

N = 25

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Treatment 2

Mean: 63.56

Standard Deviation: 16.452153

Standard Error Mean: 3.2904306

Upper 95% Mean: 70.351115

Lower 95% Mean: 56.768885

N = 25

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Treatment 3

Mean: 64.8

Standard Deviation: 15.652476

Standard Error Mean: 3.1304952

Upper 95% Mean: 71.261024

Lower 95% Mean: 58.338976

N = 25

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Treatment 4

Mean: 56.76

Standard Deviation: 14.928385

Standard Error Mean: 2.9856769

Upper 95% Mean: 62.922134

Lower 95% Mean: 50.597866

N = 25

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Treatment 5

Mean: 38.72

Standard Deviation: 12.102066

Standard Error Mean: 2.4204132

Upper 95% Mean: 43.715487

Lower 95% Mean: 33.724513

N = 25

Explanation / Answer

one battery is chosen each from treatment1, treatment2, treatment3.

PROVIDED DATA:

Treatment 1 (A):   68% successful, 32% unsuccessful

Treatment 2 (B):   56% successful, 44% unsuccessful

Treatment 3 (C): 60% successful, 40% unsuccessful

Events A,B,C represent success of treatments 1,2,3 respectievely.

The events A,B,C are independent.

P(A) = 0.68 ; P(A') = 1-0.68 = 0.32

P(B) = 0.56 ; P(B') = 1-0.56 = 0.44

P(C) = 0.60 ; P(C') = 1-0.60 = 0.40

P(atleast 2 success) = P(A'BC) + P(AB'C) + P(ABC') + P(ABC)

= (0.32*0.56*0.60) + (0.68*0.44*0.6) + (0.68*0.56*0.40) + (0.68*0.56*0.60)

=0.66784.