True or False A multiplicative time-series model Y = T times C times S times I b
ID: 3228135 • Letter: T
Question
True or False A multiplicative time-series model Y = T times C times S times I becomes an additive model if we take the logarithm of each side of the equation. Additive models are most appropriate over longer periods of time or when the data magnitude is growing rapidly over time. Moving average models are causal models (as opposed to time-series models). Exponential smoothing and moving averages are especially useful for data with a clear trend. The quadratic model's R^2 is always at least as high as the linear model fitted to the same data. Over the short run, exponential and linear trends may look alike. The shape of the fitted quadratic model y_t = 544 + 62t - 3.2t^2 is declining, then rising. In exponential smoothing, using alpha = .20 will give a smoother series than using alpha = .05. The shape of the fitted exponential model y_t = 256e^-.07t is always declining. Moving averages are most useful for irregular data with no clear trend.Explanation / Answer
Q1. True
Q2. False
Q3. True
Q4. True
Q5. True
Q6. True
Q7. False
Q8. False
Q9. False
Q10. TRue
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