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A firm is evaluating alternatives for introducing a new product. It has identifi

ID: 3312625 • Letter: A

Question

A firm is evaluating alternatives for introducing a new product. It has identified four alternative markets, and has constructed the following table which shows the rewards (in $1,000,000's) for various levels of acceptance by the markets and their probabilities.

Market Acceptance

Market

Low (.3)

Medium (.4)

High (.3)

Northeast Only

-0.7

0

1

Southeast Only

-0.2

0.2

0.8

National

-1.5

-0.2

2

None (don't introduce the new package)

0

0

0

The expected value of introducing the new product in the “National” market is:

$70,000

$90,000

$50,000

$260,000

Market Acceptance

Market

Low (.3)

Medium (.4)

High (.3)

Northeast Only

-0.7

0

1

Southeast Only

-0.2

0.2

0.8

National

-1.5

-0.2

2

None (don't introduce the new package)

0

0

0

Explanation / Answer

Mean= -450000-80000+600000=70000

Hope this helps!

X -1500000 -200000 2000000 P(X=X) 0.3 0.4 0.3
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