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Did not lie 15 32 Lied 42 Positive test Negative test Suppose a test is selected

ID: 3370316 • Letter: D

Question

Did not lie 15 32 Lied 42 Positive test Negative test Suppose a test is selected 9 Find the probability that the test is from a person who lied. (a)42/98 (b) 51/98 (c) 57/98 (d) 66/98 Suppose a test is selected. 10. Find the probability that the test is from a person who took the positive test and the person lied. (a)42/98 (b) 51/98 (c)57/98 (d) 66/98 Suppose a test is selected 11. Find the probability that the test is from a person who took the positive test and the person did not lie (a)42/98 (b) 51/98 (c) 57/98 (d) 15/98 Suppose a test is selected. 12. Find the probability that the test is from a person who took the positive test OR the person lied. (a)42/98 (b) 51/98 (c) 57/98 (d) 66/98 Suppose a test is selected. 13. Find the probability that the test is from a person who took the positive test given that the person did not lie. (a)42/98 (b) 15/47 (c) 57/98 (d) 15/57

Explanation / Answer

Total person = 15 + 32 + 42 + 9 = 98

9) P(lied) = (42 + 9)/98 = 51/98

Option - b is correct.

10) P(postive test and lied) = 42/98

Option - a is correct.

11) P(positive test and did not lie) = 15/98

Option - d is correct.

12) P(positive test or lie) = P(positive test) + P(lie) - P(positive test and lie)

                                        = 57/98 + 51/98 - 42/98

                                        = 66/98

Option - d is correct.

13) P(positive test | did not lie) = P(positive test and did not lie)/P(did not lie)

                                                  = (15/98)/(47/98)

                                                 = 15/47

Option - b is correct.

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