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When asked to explain the meaning of “statistically significant at the = 0.05 le

ID: 3389137 • Letter: W

Question

When asked to explain the meaning of “statistically significant at the = 0.05 level,” a student says: “This means that the probability that the null hypothesis is true is less than 0.05."

Which one of these statements most correctly describes the student’s statement?

Question 4 options:

The student is correct because 5% is the most common value we compare p-values to.

The student is correct because represents the probability that a hypothesis is correct.

The student is incorrect since “statistically significant at the  = 0.05 level” really means that if H0 were true, we would have observed outcomes that occur less than 5% of the time.

The student is incorrect. His/her answer should have been “This means that the probability that the null hypothesis is true is equal to 0.05”

a)

The student is correct because 5% is the most common value we compare p-values to.

b)

The student is correct because represents the probability that a hypothesis is correct.

c)

The student is incorrect since “statistically significant at the  = 0.05 level” really means that if H0 were true, we would have observed outcomes that occur less than 5% of the time.

d)

The student is incorrect. His/her answer should have been “This means that the probability that the null hypothesis is true is equal to 0.05”

Explanation / Answer

(C) is correct, rest are wrong. This can be rephrased as:

The student is incorrect since “statistically significant at the  = 0.05 level” really means that if H0 were true, then probabiltiy of observing atleast as extreme sample as we did in current sample would be less than 0.05.

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