Which fallacy is committed by the following argument? There has been a blizzard

Question

Which fallacy is committed by the following argument? There has been a blizzard every January blizzard in January for the last three years, so there must always be a a. hasty generalization d. composition le· Ipost hoc c. division Extra Credit EC. How does the ad hominem fallacy involve credibility? a. It assigns expert credibility to someone who doesn't deserve it. b. It fails to recognize the credibility of someone who is an expert. c. It assigns too much credibility to an opponent. d. It attacks the credibility of an opponent e. It ignores the issue of whether or not an opponent has credibility EC. Which fallacy is committed by the following argument? think tomorrow will be a nice day, because my mechanic said that he's not expecting rain. d. post hoc e. accident a. appeal to authority b. diversion c. ad hominem

Explanation / Answer

4. a) hasty generalisation, because here on the basis of observation of 3 years one in concluding that there MUST be blizaard in january in all years. It is generalising the situation of blizzard in january without much proof or evidence. So it is a fallacy of hastily generalising a conclusion for all years to come.

EXTRA CREDIT

1. d) ad hominem attacks credibility of an opponent in an arguement making the entire arguement invalid. here instead of making a counter arguement on the topic in hand, the credibility of the character, motive or speech of the opponent is attacked misleading the arguement and making his words worthless.

2. a) appeal to authority, rather it must be appeal to false authority as here the mechanic has no knowledge of weather, yet he makes a statement that tomorrow it won't rain and you believe it is true without any evidence, other than his word.

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