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KLASTORING Peaject Mansgement Tools&Trade; Off,pd-Adobe Acrobat Reader DC leEt V

ID: 366686 • Letter: K

Question

KLASTORING Peaject Mansgement Tools&Trade; Off,pd-Adobe Acrobat Reader DC leEt View Window Help Home Tools KLASTORINE - Proj x Sign In / 268 STUDY PROBLEMS 1. Consider the following project network START1 END For each activity in this network, three estimates for the time required (in months) are given in the following table: Optimistie Most Likely Pessimistic Activity Estimate EstimsteEstimate 1.2 1.3 15 15 4,5 10 5,7 16.7 The original schedule for the respective events had been set hased on the most likely estimates, these estimates are given in the following table (assuming that the project begins at time 0). For the events in this peoject, management has requested the following information; respond by completing the following table: Type here to search 1232 AM 17-Nov1 -KLASTORMIE . Peaject Managemmt Tools & Trade Off,pdf-Adobe Acrobat Reader DC View Window Help Home Tools KLASTORINE - Proj x Sign In Optimistie Most Likly Possimistic Activity Estimate Estimete Estimate 11.21 15 3,0 4,5 5,7 15 10 8,7 The original schedule for the respective events had beem set based on the most likely estimates, these estimates are given in the following table (assuming that the project begins at time 0). For he events in this peoject, management has requested the following information; respond by completing the following table: STUON PROOLEMS 159 Earliest Time Event Expected Number Value Variance Schedule zscor Meeting Schedule Probability of Type here to search 1233 AM 17-Now1

Explanation / Answer

Expected time for activity = (Optimistic+4Most likely+Pessimistic)/6

Standard deviation = (Pessimistic - Optimistic) / 6   Variance = square of standard deviation

Calculations are as follows:

Critical path is 1--3--5--6--7 with average project duration of 28.84 with variance = .25+.25+.25+1=1.75

Standard deviation of project duration is SQRT(1.75) =1.32

(a+4m+b)/6 (b-a)/6 Activity Optimistic-a Mostlikely-m Pessimistic-b Expected S.D. Variance (1,2) 8 9 10 9 0.333333 0.111111 (1,3) 6 7 9 7.166666667 0.5 0.25 (2,6) 9 12 15 12 1 1 (3,4) 5 5 5 5 0 0 (3,5) 8 10 11 9.833333333 0.5 0.25 (3,6) 11 15 20 15.16666667 1.5 2.25 (4,5) 3 4 6 4.166666667 0.5 0.25 (5,6) 5 6 8 6.166666667 0.5 0.25 (5,7) 8 10 12 10 0.666667 0.444444 (6,7) 4 5 10 5.666666667 1 1