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X-Tech is a new Internet venture. It\'s first year dividend is expected to be $3

ID: 2719827 • Letter: X

Question

X-Tech is a new Internet venture. It's first year dividend is expected to be $30. The risk-adjusted discount rate for this company is 10%. However, the growth prospect of X-Tech is uncertain. Some analysts believe it will grow 4% per year. Another group believe it can grow as fast as 5.5% per year. Calculate the equity value of X-Tech under each of those assumptions. Plot a graph showing the stock value of the company for a range of future growth rates between 3% to 6% (step size of 0.1%) Assume that the growth rate is fixed at 5.5%. However, analysts disagree with each other on the right discount rate to apply for the company. Some believe 8% is correct, but the other group thinks 6% is a more precise value. Plot the stock price of the company as a function of discount rate for the range of 6% to 12% (step size of 0.1%) Now assume that everybody agrees that the growth rate is 5% and discount rate is 7%. However, they believe that the due diligence process of the firm has not been done carefully. There is a range of estimation for the dividend of the first year, which varies between $20 to $100. Plot the stock price as a function of first-year dividends (step size of $5). What difference do you observe compared to the results of parts (1) and (2)? Can you relate what you learn from this question to an important historical event? Explain it.

Explanation / Answer

1) Equity Value of X - TECH

If growth rate is 4% P0 = D1/(Ke - g) = 30/(0.10-0.04) = $ 500

                      5.5%    = 30/(0.10-0.055) = $ 666.68

Values to plot the graph :

The plotted graph will be as under:

2) Stock price as a function of discount rates:

The data are given below:

The graph is pasted below:

3) Dividend and stock prices are as below:

Seeing the charts, the following can be observed:

Chart 1 - as the growth rate increases, (other things remaining constant) the stock value increases, which increase is non-linear

Chart 2 - as the discount rate increases (other things remaining constant) he stock value decreases, which increase is non-linear

Chart 3 - as the first year dividend increases (other things remaining constant) the stock price increases.which increase is linear

Growth Stock Rate (%) Value ($) 3.0 428.57 3.1 434.78 3.2 441.18 3.3 447.76 3.4 454.55 3.5 461.54 3.6 468.75 3.7 476.19 3.8 483.87 3.9 491.80 4.0 500.00 4.1 508.47 4.2 517.24 4.3 526.32 4.4 535.71 4.5 545.45 4.6 555.56 4.7 566.04 4.8 576.92 4.9 588.24 5.0 600.00 5.1 612.24 5.2 625.00 5.3 638.30 5.4 652.17 5.5 666.67 5.6 681.82 5.7 697.67 5.8 714.29 5.9 731.71 6.0 750.00