You are given the ordinary shares of company ABC with a market value of $1.50 at
ID: 2795776 • Letter: Y
Question
You are given the ordinary shares of company ABC with a market value of $1.50 at the 2015 financial year end. The following are extracts from the company’s published accounts at the 2015 financial year end.
Balance sheet at 31 December 2015
($m)
Capital and reserves
Share capital
512
Revaluation reserve
294
Retained earnings
1,306
Net borrowings
1,920
Income statement for the year ended 31 December 2015
($m)
Operating profit
952
Finance expenses
144
Profit before taxation
808
Income tax expense
202
Profit for the period
606
A summary of total dividends paid is shown below.
Year
2012
2013
2014
2015
Dividend per share (in Cents)
5.75
6.10
6.47
6.86
Note the following:
issued share capital consists only of ordinary 10 cents shares
the equity beta for the company is 1.125
the equity risk premium is 4%
borrowings were unchanged during 2015 and were all linked to the company’s bank’s base rate
the company incurs a credit risk premium of 1.5% over its bank’s base lending rate (also known as prime rate or minimum lending rate), which has not changed over the year
at the present time, bank base rates are 1% higher than the yield on short-term US Treasury debt.
Note : Consider Risk-Free Rate (Rf) = 5%
Question 1.1: Estimate the company’s expected return on equity using the capital asset pricing model (CAPM).
Question 1.2: Using the dividend valuation model (DVM) (Gordon growth variation), estimate the expected return on equity. [use the geometric mean formula to calculate growth]
Question 1.3: Estimate the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) at 31 December 2015, using the average of the two returns on equity calculated in Q1.1 and 1.2 above.
Question 1.4: Comment on the relative advantages and disadvantages of the CAPM and the DVM (Gordon growth variation) as a basis for estimating the expected return on equity of a firm. Suggest reasons why they might give different estimates. Use your results from Part 1.1 and Part 1.2 to illustrate your discussion points. [200 to 400 words]
($m)
Capital and reserves
Share capital
512
Revaluation reserve
294
Retained earnings
1,306
Net borrowings
1,920
Explanation / Answer
Ans. 1.1 Calculation of KE (using CAPM module) = Rf+(Risk premium) beta
=5+(4%)X1.125= 9.50%
1.2 Calculation of KE (using Gorden Growth module)
Calculation of Growth = (5.75-6.10)/5.75X100 = 6% or (6.47-6.86)/6.47X100 = 6%
Growth is 6%
Dividend latest = 6.86 cents or $.0686
Market value = $1.50
Ke = .0686 X100+6% = 10.57%
1.50
1.3 Calculation of WACC
calcualtion of cost of debt or Kd= 5+1+1.5 = 7.50 (1-.25) = 5.625%
*Tax rate = 202/808X100 = 25%
WACC calculation by using CAPM model for Ke
Weight of equity and Debt.
Weight
Equity = $1818 (512+1306) .49
Debt =$1920 .51
Total =$3738 1
WACC = 9.50X.49+ 5.625X.51 = 4.655+2.869= 7.524%
Calculation of WACC by using Gorden module
WACC= 10.57X.49+5.625X.51= 5.18+2.869 = 8.05%
1.4 Advantage and disadvantage of CAPM and DVM
CAPM
Advantage
-Market Return: Under CAPM module we are using market risk premium and Risk free rate for that return is subject to market return.
-Beta: Company Return will effect through the beta factory.
Disadvantage:
Market Return: Company Return always depended on market rate of return, higher beta means higher return and higher loss as per market return.
Advantage and disadvantage of DVM
-Growth: Company return is depend on Growth of company as per historical data, that means company is shown correct return as per historical data.
Disadvantage:
-it is calculated with the using of dividend, if company is dividend is not declared countine 3-4yrs we are unable to calculate Ke.
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