Consider a project to supply Detroit with 20,000 tons of machine screws annually

Question

Consider a project to supply Detroit with 20,000 tons of machine screws annually for automobile production. You will need an initial $3,400,000 investment in threading equipment to get the project started; the project will last for four years. The accounting department estimates that annual fixed costs will be $800,000 and that variable costs should be $180 per ton; accounting will depreciate the initial fixed asset investment straight-line to zero over the four-year project life. It also estimates a salvage value of $620,000 after dismantling costs. The marketing department estimates that the automakers will let the contract at a selling price of $300 per ton. The engineering department estimates you will need an initial net working capital investment of $340,000. You require a return of 11 percent and face a marginal tax rate of 38 percent on this project.

  

What is the estimated OCF for this project? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answer in whole dollars, not millions of dollars, e.g., 1,234,567.)

  

  

What is the estimated NPV for this project? (Enter your answer in dollars, not millions of dollars, e.g., 1,234,567. Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.)

  

Suppose you believe that the accounting department’s initial cost and salvage value projections are accurate only to within ±15 percent; the marketing department’s price estimate is accurate only to within ±10 percent; and the engineering department’s net working capital estimate is accurate only to within ±5 percent. What is the worst-case NPV for this project? The best-case NPV? (A negative answer should be indicated by a minus sign. Enter your answer in dollars, not millions of dollars, e.g., 1,234,567. Do not round intermediate calculations and round your answer to 2 decimal places, e.g., 32.16.)

  

Consider a project to supply Detroit with 20,000 tons of machine screws annually for automobile production. You will need an initial $3,400,000 investment in threading equipment to get the project started; the project will last for four years. The accounting department estimates that annual fixed costs will be $800,000 and that variable costs should be $180 per ton; accounting will depreciate the initial fixed asset investment straight-line to zero over the four-year project life. It also estimates a salvage value of $620,000 after dismantling costs. The marketing department estimates that the automakers will let the contract at a selling price of $300 per ton. The engineering department estimates you will need an initial net working capital investment of $340,000. You require a return of 11 percent and face a marginal tax rate of 38 percent on this project.

Explanation / Answer

a1)

a2)

b) Worst case: Lower salvage value (-15%)+higher cost(+10%)+higher working capital(+5%)

Best Case: Higher salvage value (15%)+lower cost(-10%)+lower working capital(-5%)

Sales (20000*300) $          6,000,000 Costs (800000+180*20000) $       (4,400,000) Depreciation (SLM) $           (850,000) EBIT $             750,000 Tax@ 38% $           (285,000) Net Income $             465,000 OCF = EBIT+Dep - Tax $          1,885,000

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