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Checking for survey errors. One way of checking the effect of undercoverage, non

ID: 3134846 • Letter: C

Question

Checking for survey errors. One way of checking the effect of undercoverage, nonresponse, and other sources of error in a sample survey is to compare the sample with known facts about the population. About 24% of the Canadian population over 15 years of age are first-generation; that is, they were horn outside Canada. The number X of first-generation Canadians in random samples of 1000 persons over 15 should therefore vary with the binomial (n = 1000, p = 0.24) distribution. What are the mean and standard deviation of X? Use the Normal approximation to find the probability that the sample will contain between 210 and 270 first-generation Canadians. Be sure to check that you can safely use the approximation.

Explanation / Answer

n=1000 and p = 0.24
Mean of binomial = np = 240
Variance =npq = 240(0.76)
std dev = 13.51
-------------------------------
X is N(240, 13.51)
P(210<x<270) =
P(|z|<30/13.51)
= P(|z|<2.22)
= 0.4868(2)
= 0.9936

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